RIGEL (Β ORIONIS)

Orbit Churn Sentinel

Tier FlagshipCategory SalesCredits 20–26Timeline 3–4 weeksPrice US$2,400–3,120

Sales — Revenue Retention · Orbit Churn Sentinel (Rigel) — Detect the pattern of customers about to stop paying before they leave, with daily risk scoring, automated & personalized win-back sequences, and a monthly "saved revenue" report.

Problem

Winning new customers in Indonesia is expensive — keeping the ones you have is far cheaper, yet almost nothing does it systematically. Churn arrives quietly: usage drops for weeks before payments stop, credit cards expire, VA bills go unpaid, and then the customer is gone without ever complaining. Local subscription businesses (SaaS, course memberships, standing contracts, franchise supply) only notice MRR leaking when the monthly report closes — by then it is too late to win anyone back.

Recognize this?

  • Customers leave quietly — not one complaint message
  • Card expires, VA payment fails — nobody checks
  • MRR leak only shows when the monthly report closes
  • Usage drops for weeks; nobody reaches out

✕ Now

  • Churn noticed after the customer is already gone
  • Payment failures met with silence
  • Retention judged from a list of lost customers

✦ With Rigel

  • Daily 0–100 risk score from real usage patterns, with reasons
  • Win-back sequence H+1 / H+3 / H+7 via WA; stops when they return
  • Monthly saved-MRR report vs an untouched cohort

What the agent does

The agent gives every customer a daily churn-risk score based on real behavior patterns, runs automated win-back sequences via WhatsApp/email before and after payment failure, and reports the revenue it saved — not just a list of customers who already left.

✦ Handled by the agent

  • scores daily churn risk, runs the win-back sequence in the brand's tone, and compiles the saved-revenue report every month.

◆ Decided by you

  • decide the bespoke retention offers (discount, downgrade, extension) and handle escalations from high-value customers.

Pipeline

1
Ingest

webhooks from the billing aggregator (Midtrans/Xendit/iPayMu), the subscription database, product usage events (logins, API calls, transactions), and CS tickets — unified per customer.

2
Daily scoring

features computed deterministically in SQL (usage-frequency decay, transaction-value decline, ≥2 charge failures, no response to promos), then the LLM writes readable risk reasons ("usage down 60% in 14 days") + a 0–100 score.

3
Segments & playbooks

red (pre-churn: save offer), orange (payment failed: retry + help with payment method), yellow (dormant: reactivation). High-value accounts go to a human AM, not the bot.

4
Win-back sequence

WA-first, email fallback: H+1 usage insight → H+3 personalized offer (package downgrade / retention discount per the client's pricing policy) → H+7 polite last call. Stops automatically when the customer returns or clearly declines; a reply → human handoff.

5
Reporting

monthly: at-risk MRR, saved MRR (compared against the untouched cohort), score accuracy (actual churn vs prediction).

Integrations

🔗Billing/subscription:…💬WA Business API🔌Usage events from…✦ Orbit Agent
  • Billing/subscription: Midtrans, Xendit, iPayMu, or the client's subscription DB directly
  • WA Business API (Fonnte / WATI / Meta Cloud API) + email (Resend / SES)
  • Usage events from PostHog/GA4/internal API; output wired into Mission Control

Model stack

  • GLM 5.3 Flash for score narratives, win-back message drafting, and reply triage (prompt caching = package/offer table + brand tone)
  • Score computation in SQL — deterministic, cheap, auditable; the LLM is only the explanation and conversation layer
  • Cost estimate: < US$20/month for 5,000 active customers with daily scoring

Success metrics (tracked weekly)

Churn rate≥ 25%down over 90 days vs the pre-agent baseline
Save rate≥ 30%in the red segment (active again within 30 days)
Time-to-first-touch< 24 hoursfrom risk signal
Saved MRR perSaved MRR per month in US dollars — a number owners read, not a statistic

Sprint deliverables

📊

Billing + usage data ingest with a 30-day historical backtest (score validation)

✓
🎯

3 risk segments + offer playbooks approved by the client

✓
🛰️

WA/email win-back sequence live with human handoff

✓
📊

Monthly "saved revenue" reporting dashboard

✓
🔑

Flow documentation + code handover (perpetual)

✓

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